Top Try Scorer Betting 2016
This is the bet that allows punters to isolate their favourite on the paddock. Bettors can put some money behind who they think will emerge victorious from the season as the leading man by way of tries.
This form of betting is different to your regular NRL betting in that you select who you think will get across the line the most. In that sense, it is simple but it does require some homework. Last season, the following men led the charge, amassing at least 17 amazing tries or more: Pat Richards, James Tedesco, Alex Johnston, Curtis Rona and Semi Radrada. James Tedesco might be looking to better his 22 tries from last season, and has already stacked on five beauties for the Tigers.
A large part of picking a winner here revolves around being able to figure out whether these players are simply freaks of nature, or whether they have unbelievable support networks within their team. A sure way to figure this out is to look at the try scorers, and then cross-check that with the players who are providing the most assists. The duo that emerges supreme from that little tabulation will often prove a good bet.
A guide to top try scorer betting
As with any bet, it is important to study odds when approaching a bet on the NRL’s top try scorer. It could be that one of the less fancied players could be a contender, a David Simmons, a Colin Best or a Wes Naiqama.
Indeed, the bigger names are often not the ones to back in top try scoring betting, as it is these players who miss games for their club because of State of Origin or other representative commitments, thus denying them the chance to add to their NRL tally.
The sort of player to look for in this bet is one who is consistent, injury-free, a sure-starter for his club and has a solid team around him.
Does history repeat itself?
Records are a curious thing. They provide a useful way to see what has been happening more recently on the field and how best to capitalise on some of the statistics that support certain teams and certain players.
Dave Brown, who scored 38 tries for Eastern Suburbs in 1935, holds the record for most tries scored over the course of one season. These stats might prove handy when the Roosters have a player like Daniel Tupou who looks to emulate one of the foundational players of his club.
One of the surest ways to identify a good punt out of this pool is to look to top try scorers over the last three seasons and then check to see if that team is producing the goods this season. Winger Semi Radrada emerges as a clear contender in that sense, only to be pipped by Jarryd Hayne in 2014 before emerging as the stand out leading try scorer last season.